Fewer than 25% of Ukrainians would like to change the president after victory
Two-thirds of Ukrainians support the reshuffling of the central government at some level after the victory, whereas only 23% of respondents want to have a new president.
Source: results of a survey conducted by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) on 26 May - 5 June
Quote: "The overwhelming majority of Ukrainians (73%) support refreshing the central government at one level or another. The least number of respondents (23%) would like to see the president replaced after the election."
Graph 1. Do you think that after the victory in the war, in order to recover the country, it is necessary or not necessary to refresh and change the central government – the president, the government, the Verkhovna Rada [the Ukrainian parliament]? Please select all that apply
- Yes, to replace the Verkhovna Rada - 69%
- Yes, to replace the Government – 47%
- Yes, to replace the President – 23%
- No, there is no need to replace anyone - 19%
- Hard to say – 8%
Details: In particular, 23% of respondents in the west and south of Ukraine, 21% in the centre, and 29% in the east would like to change the president.
Table 1: Expediency of changing the central government after the Victory of Ukraine from the regional perspective.
- % per column: West Centre South East
- Yes, to replace the Verkhovna Rada 71 69 68 68
- Yes, to replace the Government: 49, 43, 49, 46
- Yes, to replace the President: 23, 21, 23, 29
- No, there is no need to replace anyone: 16 20 21 17
- Hard to say: 7, 8, 7, 13
The survey was conducted from 26 May to 5 June. A total of 1,029 respondents living in all Ukrainian regions (except for the Autonomous Republic of Crimea) were interviewed by conducting telephone interviews based on a random sample of mobile numbers. The survey was carried out with adult citizens of Ukraine (aged 18 and older) who resided in Ukraine at the time of the study (within the territory controlled by the Ukrainian authorities until 24 February 2022).
The sample did not include residents of the territories temporarily not controlled by the Ukrainian authorities until 24 February 2022 (the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, the city of Sevastopol, and certain districts of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts), and the survey was not conducted with citizens who left the country after 24 February 2022.
Technically, under normal circumstances, the sampling error (with a confidence level of 0.95 and taking into account the design effect of 1.1) did not exceed 3.4% for indicators close to 50%, 3% for indicators close to 25%, 2.1% for indicators close to 10%, and 1.5% for indicators close to 5%.
In wartime, in addition to this formal error, a certain systematic deviation is added. However, sociologists believe that the results obtained still retain a high degree of representativeness and allow for a fairly reliable analysis of public sentiment.
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